-
BJP will witness a sharp decline. The national party will be able to reclaim only 19 (+ or- 3 seats) seats instead of its grand total of 38 back in 2017.
-
SP will see a steep climb from 15 seats to 26 (+ or- 3 seats) seats in 2022.
-
INC will improve its health by adding another seat to its 2017 number and will stand at 3 (+ or- 3 seats) constituencies.
-
BSP will manage to gain around 1 (+ or- 3 seats).
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We have been unable to figure out a clear winner for 6 constituencies.
Insight-
It’s an accepted fact in the psephology community that an increase in voter turnout indicates an increased vote share for BJP. So, the dip in voter turn-out percentage will be a telling-fact: Phase 2 (2022) is 60.44 percent and 65.33 percent (2017).
|
District |
2017 |
2022 |
|
Sahranpur |
73% |
67% |
|
Bijnor |
67% |
61% |
|
Moradabad |
67% |
65% |
|
Sambhal |
65% |
57% |
|
Rampur |
64% |
60% |
|
Amroha |
72% |
66% |
|
Budaun |
60% |
56% |
|
Bareilly |
63% |
58% |
|
Shahjahanpur |
60% |
55% |